280 houses on the market, but only 92 have been listed for less than 30 days. Why fresh stock matters before Christmas.
 
Raine & Horne Lower North Shore
Team Howe Weekly
23 October 2026
Real Insight Weekly
 
Lower North Shore  ·  Week Ending 23 October

The Final Listing Window

280 houses on the market — but only
one-third is still fresh.

 

Dear all,

The Lower North Shore market is beginning to show signs that we are entering the final listing window before the Christmas and New Year break.
New listing numbers fell by approximately 50% this week, suggesting that fewer homeowners are now choosing to commence a campaign before the end of the year.
Sales activity also slowed, with 6 sales recorded this week compared with 19 last week, while 7 properties are still scheduled for auction tomorrow.
There are currently 280 houses on the market, but the more interesting number is this:
Only 92 properties have been on the market for less than 30 days.
That means just 33% — approximately one-third — of all available stock is still relatively fresh, while two-thirds has already been on the market for more than a month.
As we move closer to the end of the year, this distinction becomes increasingly important.
For sellers, less fresh competition can create an opportunity for a well-presented and intelligently priced property entering the market now.
For buyers, the headline number of 280 listings may appear substantial, but once older stock is separated from genuinely fresh opportunities, the choice is considerably narrower than it first appears.
With only a limited number of selling weeks remaining before the Christmas and New Year slowdown, the next few weeks will be interesting to watch.
Have a great weekend and best regards,
David and Taka
Auctions on 24th Oct (7)
Lower North Shore houses scheduled for auction on Saturday, with price guide.
#SuburbAddressDateGuide
1 Chatswood 28 Millwood Avenue, Chatswood 24-Oct-26 17:15 $1.20m
2 Chatswood 1 Beresford Avenue, Chatswood 24-Oct-26 14:00 $3.50m
3 Crows Nest 165 Alexander Street, Crows Nest (relist) 24-Oct-26 11:45 $3.90m
4 Mosman 1/66 Prince Street, Mosman 24-Oct-26 13:00 $3.00m
5 Mosman 20 Beaconsfield Road, Mosman 24-Oct-26 12:00 $5.50m
6 Mosman 36 Medusa Street, Mosman 24-Oct-26 11:00 $9.50m
7 Willoughby 204 Eastern Valley Way, Willoughby 24-Oct-26 13:30 $2.60m
 
Weekly Scorecard
Week ending 23 Oct vs 17 Oct 2026  ·  Team Howe, Lower North Shore
  23 Oct 17 Oct Change  
This Week’s Activity
New listings 22 44 ▼  -50.0% -22
Average listing price (new) $6.32M $5.13M ▲  +23.1% +$1.19M
New sales * 6 19 ▼  -68.4% -13
Average sale price * $7.63M $4.53M ▲  +68.5% +$3.10M
Median DOM, sales this week * 23 46 ▼  -50.0% -23 days
Sale Price Index (SPI) * -4.58% -7.49% ▲  +2.91 pts less negative
 
2026 To Date
Total listings 2026 1,163 1,142 ▲  +1.8% +21
Total sales 2026 703 697 ▲  +0.9% +6
Total withdrawn listings 180 177 ▲  +1.7% +3
Current listings 280 267 ▲  +4.9% +13
Median listing price (all 2026) $3.95M $3.95M –  0.0% no change
Median sale price (all 2026) $3.83M $3.85M ▼  -0.5% -$20k
Median DOM, all listings 51 51 –  0.0% no change
Median DOM, all sales 30 30 –  0.0% no change
 
Auctions and Price Moves
Auctions in pipeline 115 (41%) 101 (38%) ▲  +13.9% +14
Passed in 4 10 ▼  -60.0% -6
Withdrawn 4 9 ▼  -55.6% -5
Price adjusted down 15 21 ▼  -28.6% -6
Price adjusted up 1 8 ▼  -87.5% -7
Auction date changed 6 9 ▼  -33.3% -3
 
* Based on 6 sales only. A warning light, not a trend.
Arrows show direction only, not good or bad. Amber up, charcoal down, grey flat.
23 Oct is a Friday snapshot and will be revised after the weekend. 17 Oct is the revised figure.
What this means for you
If you’re selling
 
Homes are taking longer to sell — the region median is 30 days, up from 27 last year — so allow a longer time line and price to the current market, not last year’s.
 
Buyers are negotiating: this week 15 listings cut their asking price against 1 increases.
 
Auction remains a strong option — 101 auctions or EOI campaigns are booked across the coming weeks, 36% of current listings.
If you’re buying
 
The region median has eased 9.2% to $3.83m, and there is more choice: 1,163 new listings so far this year.
 
Fewer competing buyers — sales are tracking about 25% below last year, so well-priced homes are still selling but with less pressure.
 
12 of the 17 reliably measured suburbs have a lower median than 2025 — see the movers below.
 
 
 
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David Howe signature Taka Shino signature
David Howe
Partner Agent · Raine & Horne Lower North Shore
Taka Shino
Team Howe · Raine & Horne Lower North Shore
Raine & Horne Lower North Shore
Lower North Shore
140 Sailors Bay Road, Northbridge NSW 2063
Real Insight Weekly

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